![]() ![]() ![]() Western hype is ‘shooting the moon’: “Putin is panicked Russian markets are falling young men are fleeing conscription”. The point here is that western leaders ‘claim’ that Putin is just bluffing – as he is losing. The $64 thousand dollar question is, what will be the studied reaction of western political leaders to Putin’s speech? The next weeks will be crucial. It is a risk that is why we have reached an inflection point. Well, ‘Collective Russia’ has decided to ‘get ahead of the curve’, and to bring the affairs of Ukraine to the crunch. Unimaginable flows of western $ billions too many NATO fingers in the Ukraine pie too wide a ‘Ho Chi Minh Trail’ of ever more long-range and advanced weaponry and too many ‘ delusions’ that Kiev can still somehow win – effectively have undercut any ‘off-ramp solution’ and portend inexorable escalation. ‘Collective Russia’ has concluded that the former low-intensity war is no longer viable: As former Indian diplomat, MK Bhadrakumar, notes, “The accession of Donbass, Kherson and Zaporozhye creates a new political reality and Russia’s partial mobilisation on parallel track is intended to provide the military underpinning for it”.Ĭlearly, we – the world – are at a pivotal moment. After that is concluded and the territories assimilated into Russia, any attack on the new Russian territories would be treated as an act of war against Russia. However, the referenda in the Ukrainian oblasts come first and those will be followed by the Government of Russia and the Duma accepting the results and approving the annexation of these territories. The number of Russian regulars fighting in Ukraine will rise dramatically. The militias have been reinforced by contract soldiers from the Wagner Group and Chechen fighters however, rather than by regular Russian forces.īut this is about to change. The facts are clear: The militias of Donetsk and Luhansk represent the majority of the Russian allied forces fighting in the Donbas. This decision was not precipitated by a significant attrition in the existing force. She is augmenting her forces to the minimum level that could deal with a major NATO offensive. ![]() Russia is preparing for an escalation in this war. Any political solution – however theoretical, at this point – would involve Moscow sitting with the collective West. ![]()
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